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Kelly: Dynamic Tensions: Avoiding Cognitive Bias

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I call these 'dynamic tensions', and in the book I quote Niels Bohr, the sparring partner of Albert Einstein for many years, a Danish physicist. Niels Bohr wrote that 'the opposite of a correct statement is a false statement, but the opposite of a profound truth is very often another profound truth'. I think that's true, and I think we live in a world of paradox. I think that all of these, I describe them as dynamic tensions, they both exist. The power of the US exists and the vulnerability exists. The intangible economy is growing in importance, the infrastructural, physical economy is hugely important. The secular world is real and there will always be a lot of aspiration towards a secular model, an idealized secular model, the sacred world is back in play. Technology does enable clarity, but it does enable craziness. Both of these things are true. I think that so much of our cognitive bias actually comes from the 'either-or' mindset, the idea that you have to choose between beliefs, the idea you have to choose between different parts of the paradox. No, you have to actually believe both, because both are true.

Added on 28 Apr 2017